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Baltimore Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood and Webull for Unlicensed Sports Betting — First Municipal Lawsuit Against Prediction Markets

Mayor Brandon Scott and the Baltimore City Council have sued Kalshi, Polymarket, and three distribution partners — Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull — for operating unlicensed sports betting in violation of Baltimore's Consumer Protection Ordinance. The suits allege the platforms compete with regulated sportsbooks while avoiding Maryland's 15% gaming tax, state oversight, and responsible-gambling requirements including the 21+ age limit. Baltimore is the first municipality in the US to pursue legal action against prediction market platforms. The Kalshi complaint separately argues that 'combos' on Kalshi and Robinhood function as parlays equivalent to those offered by licensed sportsbooks.

Mayor Brandon Scott and the Baltimore City Council filed suits on August 13 in Baltimore City Circuit Court against Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull, making Baltimore the first municipality in the United States to pursue legal action against prediction market platforms. The Kalshi complaint names four defendants: Kalshi itself plus Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull, which distribute Kalshi's event contracts through prediction market sections built into their own apps. The Polymarket complaint names Polymarket directly. Both complaints allege violations of Baltimore's Consumer Protection Ordinance and include eight counts of deceptive and unfair trade. The city is seeking penalties, restitution, and an order blocking unauthorized sports betting. Baltimore says the platforms compete with regulated sportsbooks 'while avoiding the oversight, taxation, responsible-gambling requirements' that Maryland imposes on licensed operators.

The addition of Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull as co-defendants is the most structurally significant element of the Kalshi complaint. Prediction market platforms have previously been sued as direct operators; Baltimore's suit targets the distribution layer simultaneously. Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull each embed Kalshi's event contract markets inside their own trading apps, allowing users to access sports contracts without leaving platforms they use for equities, crypto, and ETFs. By naming them, Baltimore is asserting that companies that distribute prediction market sports contracts — rather than just those that list them — are liable for the resulting harm to licensed sportsbook operators and city residents. If that theory survives, it reaches every financial platform that has integrated prediction market functionality: a much broader defendant pool than the CFTC-licensed operators alone. The parlay argument adds a further layer: Baltimore's complaint specifically argues that 'combos' on Kalshi and Robinhood — multi-leg contracts that pay out only if all legs resolve correctly — function identically to parlays offered by licensed sportsbooks, which are a particularly profitable product category for operators and a particularly high-loss product for problem gamblers.

The age and responsible-gambling argument is where Baltimore's complaint is sharpest. Maryland's licensed sportsbooks require bettors to be 21 or older, consistent with most US state sports betting frameworks. Kalshi and Polymarket, as CFTC-regulated commodity exchanges, have an 18-year-old minimum — the standard for commodity trading accounts. An 18-year-old in Baltimore can open a Kalshi account and trade NFL game outcome contracts that a licensed Maryland sportsbook would legally refuse to accept. Baltimore's Consumer Protection Ordinance gives the city standing to sue on behalf of city residents harmed by deceptive trade practices, and the complaint frames the 21-to-18 age gap as a deception: users are not informed that they are in a less-regulated environment than a licensed sportsbook. The Kalshi complaint also alleges that Kalshi's marketing misleads users about its regulatory status — presenting CFTC licensing as equivalent to or stronger than state gaming oversight when the two regimes have different responsible-gambling obligations.

Baltimore's suit is filed in state circuit court, not federal court — a tactical choice that avoids the immediate federal preemption argument that has paralyzed most state-level litigation. Eleven states' worth of suits have been contested on CFTC preemption grounds, with courts splitting on whether federal DCM licensing displaces state gambling law. By filing in Baltimore City Circuit Court under a municipal consumer protection ordinance rather than state gambling law, Baltimore is attempting to frame the claim as a local consumer protection issue rather than a gambling regulation dispute. Whether a federal court accepts that reframing on removal — Kalshi and Polymarket will almost certainly remove to federal court — determines whether the consumer protection theory survives. The Fourth Circuit, which covers Maryland, has not yet ruled on a prediction market preemption question, making Baltimore a potential vehicle for establishing Fourth Circuit precedent alongside the Second, Third, and Sixth Circuit cases already in motion.

Recent updates


Kalshi's Parlays Drive Back-to-Back $5B Days — and Hand Critics Their Strongest Argument

Kalshi traded a record $5.33 billion on November 7 and $5.36 billion on November 8, with multi-leg parlay-style 'combos' making up roughly 75% of both days' volume. Its 30-day volume topped $100 billion. But the parlay dominance cuts against the platform's legal defense: parlays are a quintessential sportsbook product, and the American Gaming Association has told the Second Circuit that parlays make up about two-thirds of Kalshi's volume and should be treated as sports bets. The implied house edge on 10-plus-leg combos is around 25%, undercutting the argument that these are neutral financial instruments rather than gambling.

Cruz Bill Would Require State or Tribal Approval for Sports Contracts — a Bipartisan Legislative Threat Emerges

Senator Ted Cruz, who chairs the Senate Commerce Committee, is preparing a bill that would bar federally regulated prediction markets from offering gambling-tied event contracts, including sports, unless a state or tribal government authorizes them. It would not ban the contracts nationwide but would require platforms to obtain approval jurisdiction by jurisdiction, resembling state-by-state sportsbook regulation. The proposal arrives as Democrats take control of both chambers after the midterms, creating a potential bipartisan reckoning: a Republican committee chair and a newly skeptical Democratic majority both eyeing restrictions on a sector that had relied on federal protection.

CFTC Tells Platforms to Stop Geofencing States — Directly Colliding With State Court Orders

The CFTC issued an interpretation on November 5 of its 'impartial access' core principle, telling regulated exchanges including Kalshi and Polymarket to drop state-by-state geographic blocks within 30 days or explain why they cannot. The demand collides head-on with existing state court orders that require the platforms to geofence: Washington ordered Kalshi to geofence in August, and Michigan ordered it to use licensed geolocation to block the state in September, with a $500,000 daily fine for violations. Chairman Michael Selig framed the interpretation as a uniformity requirement. The platforms are now caught between a federal demand to unblock states and state court orders to block them.