● Live Wisconsin AG suit vs Kalshi & Polymarket pending · NY/IL insider-trading orders in effect · Updated May 2026
← News & Updates
Regulation

Missouri AG Sends Cease-and-Desist Letters to Six Prediction Market Operators

Missouri Attorney General Catherine Hanaway issued cease-and-desist letters on September 18 to six prediction market operators — Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, Crypto.com, Novig, and Underdog — alleging their sports event contracts constitute unlicensed sports wagering under Missouri law. The letters give platforms 30 days to comply or obtain licenses from the Missouri Gaming Commission. Missouri is the broadest multi-platform C&D action to date, targeting all major operators simultaneously. The action arrives one day after Montana and Kalshi filed a joint stipulation in which Montana agreed to pause enforcement while Ninth Circuit en banc review is pending.

Missouri Attorney General Catherine Hanaway sent cease-and-desist letters on September 18, 2026 to six prediction market operators: Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood Derivatives, Crypto.com, Novig, and Underdog. The letters allege that each company's sports event contracts constitute unlicensed sports wagering under Missouri law and direct the platforms to stop offering those contracts to Missouri residents within 30 days or obtain licenses from the Missouri Gaming Commission. Hanaway said companies 'cannot repackage sports bets as event contracts to avoid Missouri law.' Missouri has a licensed sports betting market, established by a 2022 ballot initiative; licensed operators include DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars. The Missouri Gaming Commission, which oversees licensed operators, would have authority to license prediction market platforms under the state's existing sports wagering framework — though no prediction market platform has applied for such a license in any state.

The breadth of Missouri's action is notable. Previous state enforcement actions targeted one or two platforms at a time: Massachusetts sued Kalshi; Nevada's Gaming Control Board pursued Kalshi; New York targeted Kalshi; Wisconsin named five platforms but in a single lawsuit. Missouri's simultaneous C&D letters to six separate companies — covering the full range of major CFTC-registered prediction market operators — represents the most comprehensive single-state enforcement sweep yet. Novig and Underdog, smaller platforms that had not been the subject of major state enforcement actions previously, are now included alongside Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood. Including Crypto.com, which was also named in Wisconsin's lawsuit, Missouri's action signals a state AG strategy of capturing all CFTC-licensed prediction market operators rather than targeting individual platforms sequentially.

The 30-day compliance window runs until approximately October 18, 2026 — three weeks into the NFL regular season, and two weeks before the Ninth Circuit responds to Kalshi's en banc petition. Missouri joins a queue of states whose enforcement actions have been met with either CFTC emergency orders (New York, Michigan) or CFTC lawsuits (Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois, Wisconsin). If the platforms do not comply and instead fight Missouri's C&D letters in court, Missouri is likely to follow the pattern: file for a preliminary injunction, face a counter-suit or CFTC intervention, and await a circuit court ruling. The Eighth Circuit — which covers Missouri — has not yet heard a prediction market case. If Missouri obtains a PI or files suit, the Eighth Circuit could become the third circuit to rule on the CEA preemption question, potentially adding to or resolving the circuit split.

The Missouri action arrives as two opposing state trends are visible in the same week. Montana, which had also issued C&D letters to Kalshi and pursued enforcement, filed a joint stipulation with Kalshi on September 17 agreeing to pause all enforcement while the Ninth Circuit en banc process proceeds. Missouri's escalation, issued the following day, illustrates that there is no uniform state AG strategy: some states are pausing, some are escalating, and the timing is heavily influenced by each state's political calendar, its proximity to the Ninth Circuit's jurisdiction, and the posture of its local gambling industry. Missouri's licensed sportsbook operators have commercial incentive to see prediction market competition curtailed; the Missouri Gaming Commission and the licensed operators are natural allies for the AG's enforcement position. The NFL season, which generates the prediction market sports contracts that states are contesting, gives both sides urgency: platforms want to operate during peak season, and states want to act before the season generates maximum revenue outside their licensed framework.

Recent updates


Kalshi's Parlays Drive Back-to-Back $5B Days — and Hand Critics Their Strongest Argument

Kalshi traded a record $5.33 billion on November 7 and $5.36 billion on November 8, with multi-leg parlay-style 'combos' making up roughly 75% of both days' volume. Its 30-day volume topped $100 billion. But the parlay dominance cuts against the platform's legal defense: parlays are a quintessential sportsbook product, and the American Gaming Association has told the Second Circuit that parlays make up about two-thirds of Kalshi's volume and should be treated as sports bets. The implied house edge on 10-plus-leg combos is around 25%, undercutting the argument that these are neutral financial instruments rather than gambling.

Cruz Bill Would Require State or Tribal Approval for Sports Contracts — a Bipartisan Legislative Threat Emerges

Senator Ted Cruz, who chairs the Senate Commerce Committee, is preparing a bill that would bar federally regulated prediction markets from offering gambling-tied event contracts, including sports, unless a state or tribal government authorizes them. It would not ban the contracts nationwide but would require platforms to obtain approval jurisdiction by jurisdiction, resembling state-by-state sportsbook regulation. The proposal arrives as Democrats take control of both chambers after the midterms, creating a potential bipartisan reckoning: a Republican committee chair and a newly skeptical Democratic majority both eyeing restrictions on a sector that had relied on federal protection.

CFTC Tells Platforms to Stop Geofencing States — Directly Colliding With State Court Orders

The CFTC issued an interpretation on November 5 of its 'impartial access' core principle, telling regulated exchanges including Kalshi and Polymarket to drop state-by-state geographic blocks within 30 days or explain why they cannot. The demand collides head-on with existing state court orders that require the platforms to geofence: Washington ordered Kalshi to geofence in August, and Michigan ordered it to use licensed geolocation to block the state in September, with a $500,000 daily fine for violations. Chairman Michael Selig framed the interpretation as a uniformity requirement. The platforms are now caught between a federal demand to unblock states and state court orders to block them.