Prediction Markets
in Connecticut
Connecticut has a mixed prediction market landscape. Kalshi is available and operates under CFTC federal jurisdiction without state interference. However, Polymarket QCEX is restricted: Connecticut's Department of Consumer Protection issued a cease-and-desist order on the day Polymarket launched its US QCEX platform in December 2025, making Connecticut one of several states actively contesting federal preemption over state gaming statutes. The state also has a high 6.99% top income tax rate, making tax planning important for active traders.
The CFTC has sued Connecticut over the Polymarket cease-and-desist.
Connecticut is one of five states the CFTC is now suing in federal court to block state-level enforcement against CFTC-licensed event-contract platforms. The Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection issued the Polymarket cease-and-desist in December 2025; the CFTC's suit, filed April 2026, argues that the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gaming enforcement against DCM-listed contracts. On May 5, the CFTC won an identical preemption ruling against Arizona, and is asking the District of Connecticut to apply the same three-prong framework here.
Read full coverage → Litigation scoreboard →Which platforms work in Connecticut?
Kalshi is available in Connecticut. Federal CFTC jurisdiction operates independently of Connecticut state gaming enforcement.
Polymarket QCEX is blocked in Connecticut. The Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection issued a cease-and-desist order against Polymarket on the day of its US QCEX launch in December 2025.
Both Mana play-money and Sweepcash real-prize features available in Connecticut.
CFTC no-action exemption. US politics-only, $850 per contract cap. Available in Connecticut.
Robinhood prediction market contracts (Kalshi-powered) are available in Connecticut. Robinhood is not subject to the same enforcement action as Polymarket QCEX.
The Connecticut C&D against Polymarket QCEX
December 2025: Connecticut's Department of Consumer Protection issued a cease-and-desist order against Polymarket on the same day Polymarket launched its US-regulated QCEX platform. Connecticut regulators argued that QCEX contracts fall under Connecticut's gambling statutes, despite Polymarket's argument that federal CFTC authorization preempts state law.
Connecticut is one of several states (alongside Arizona, Tennessee, Maryland, and Massachusetts) that have challenged the federal preemption argument for prediction markets. The legal question is whether the CFTC's designation of Kalshi (and QCEX) as Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) under the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gaming and gambling laws.
Kalshi and Robinhood have not received similar enforcement actions in Connecticut: Kalshi's longer establishment as a CFTC-regulated entity and its active engagement with regulators have seemingly given it a different profile than Polymarket's rapid US expansion. Connecticut residents can currently use Kalshi, PredictIt, Manifold, and Robinhood prediction markets without restriction.
Status as of May 2026: The federal preemption litigation is ongoing. If federal courts uphold CFTC preemption broadly, Connecticut's enforcement action against Polymarket could be reversed. Monitor developments: the outcome will affect all "Caution" states similarly.
Connecticut's 6.99% top rate
Kalshi issues a 1099-MISC for net annual profits. Report on your Connecticut state return (Form CT-1040) as ordinary income. Connecticut is a high-cost-of-living state with correspondingly higher marginal income tax rates. At the 6.99% top rate (combined with federal rates) high-income CT prediction market traders face some of the highest combined marginal rates in the country.
Connecticut vs neighboring open states
Massachusetts
Also caution status: Polymarket restricted. Similar Northeast regulatory posture. Sports betting legal since 2023.
Neighbor stateRhode Island
Open status: all platforms available including Polymarket. No enforcement action. 5.99% top tax rate.
RestrictedNew York
Restricted status: Polymarket blocks NY residents. Strong NY gambling laws, active enforcement. High 10.9% top rate.