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CT · United States Caution

Prediction Markets
in Connecticut

Connecticut has a mixed prediction market landscape. Kalshi is available and operates under CFTC federal jurisdiction without state interference. However, Polymarket QCEX is restricted: Connecticut's Department of Consumer Protection issued a cease-and-desist order on the day Polymarket launched its US QCEX platform in December 2025, making Connecticut one of several states actively contesting federal preemption over state gaming statutes. The state also has a high 6.99% top income tax rate, making tax planning important for active traders.

Status
Caution
State tax
Up to 6.99%
Sports betting
Legal (Sep 2021)
Polymarket
Restricted
CFTC suit · April 2026

The CFTC has sued Connecticut over the Polymarket cease-and-desist.

Connecticut is one of five states the CFTC is now suing in federal court to block state-level enforcement against CFTC-licensed event-contract platforms. The Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection issued the Polymarket cease-and-desist in December 2025; the CFTC's suit, filed April 2026, argues that the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gaming enforcement against DCM-listed contracts. On May 5, the CFTC won an identical preemption ruling against Arizona, and is asking the District of Connecticut to apply the same three-prong framework here.

Read full coverage → Litigation scoreboard →

Which platforms work in Connecticut?


Available
Kalshi

Kalshi is available in Connecticut. Federal CFTC jurisdiction operates independently of Connecticut state gaming enforcement.

Restricted
Polymarket

Polymarket QCEX is blocked in Connecticut. The Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection issued a cease-and-desist order against Polymarket on the day of its US QCEX launch in December 2025.

Available
Manifold

Both Mana play-money and Sweepcash real-prize features available in Connecticut.

Available
PredictIt

CFTC no-action exemption. US politics-only, $850 per contract cap. Available in Connecticut.

Available
Robinhood

Robinhood prediction market contracts (Kalshi-powered) are available in Connecticut. Robinhood is not subject to the same enforcement action as Polymarket QCEX.

The Connecticut C&D against Polymarket QCEX


December 2025: Connecticut's Department of Consumer Protection issued a cease-and-desist order against Polymarket on the same day Polymarket launched its US-regulated QCEX platform. Connecticut regulators argued that QCEX contracts fall under Connecticut's gambling statutes, despite Polymarket's argument that federal CFTC authorization preempts state law.

Connecticut is one of several states (alongside Arizona, Tennessee, Maryland, and Massachusetts) that have challenged the federal preemption argument for prediction markets. The legal question is whether the CFTC's designation of Kalshi (and QCEX) as Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) under the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gaming and gambling laws.

Kalshi and Robinhood have not received similar enforcement actions in Connecticut: Kalshi's longer establishment as a CFTC-regulated entity and its active engagement with regulators have seemingly given it a different profile than Polymarket's rapid US expansion. Connecticut residents can currently use Kalshi, PredictIt, Manifold, and Robinhood prediction markets without restriction.

Status as of May 2026: The federal preemption litigation is ongoing. If federal courts uphold CFTC preemption broadly, Connecticut's enforcement action against Polymarket could be reversed. Monitor developments: the outcome will affect all "Caution" states similarly.

Connecticut's 6.99% top rate


Connecticut graduated rates (2026)
$0 – $10,000 3.0%
$10,000 – $50,000 5.0%
$50,000 – $100,000 5.5%
$100,000 – $200,000 6.0%
$200,000 – $250,000 6.5%
Above $250,000 6.99%
Tax on $10,000 net profit (CT)
Federal (22% bracket) $2,200
CT state (~5.5%) $550
Combined $2,750
Net after tax $7,250

Kalshi issues a 1099-MISC for net annual profits. Report on your Connecticut state return (Form CT-1040) as ordinary income. Connecticut is a high-cost-of-living state with correspondingly higher marginal income tax rates. At the 6.99% top rate (combined with federal rates) high-income CT prediction market traders face some of the highest combined marginal rates in the country.