● Live Wisconsin AG suit vs Kalshi & Polymarket pending · NY/IL insider-trading orders in effect · Updated May 2026
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Polymarket Acquires QCEX CFTC Licence for US Relaunch, ICE Takes $2B Stake

Polymarket acquired QCEX, a CFTC-licensed designated contract market, to power a compliant US product, and secured a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE owner).

Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market by volume with over $8 billion in lifetime trading, announced in October 2025 that it had acquired QCEX, a dormant but fully CFTC-licensed Designated Contract Market. The acquisition gives Polymarket the regulatory infrastructure to launch a compliant US retail product, three years after its 2022 CFTC settlement barred US users from the main platform.

Shortly after the QCEX announcement, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the operator of the New York Stock Exchange, disclosed a $2 billion strategic investment in Polymarket. The investment values Polymarket as a credible financial market infrastructure play, not just a consumer app, and provides capital for the US buildout and potential futures contracts.

The US product, being developed under the QCEX DCM licence, is rolling out via a waitlist in 2026. Early access was invite-only through December 2025, with broader rollout estimated for Q3–Q4 2026. Key differences from the existing global platform: full KYC required, USD settlement alongside USDC, and compliance with CFTC position limits.

If the US relaunch reaches scale, Polymarket's global liquidity (its biggest advantage over Kalshi) would become available to US retail investors for the first time under a fully compliant structure. The combination of deepest political market liquidity and CFTC-licensed infrastructure would represent a significant competitive challenge to Kalshi in its home market.

Recent updates


Google Bans Prediction-Market Ads in Ohio — Second State After Nevada, and Regulators Weren't Told First

Google updated its US prediction-markets advertising policy to prohibit ads for prediction-market contracts in Ohio, effective June 2, 2026. Ohio joins Nevada as the only states excluded since Google opened the category in January. The Ohio Casino Control Commission says it did not request the ban — adding a new, private-sector front to a fight that has so far run through courts and statehouses.

Kalshi Scrubs 'Bookmaking' and 'Sports Betting' From Its USPTO Filings — the Vocabulary Is Now a Legal Strategy

Kalshi's May trademark filings replaced the gambling terminology of its November 2025 USPTO submissions — which described 'bookmaking services' and 'sports betting and gambling tournaments' — with 'prediction market services' and 'trades and wagers.' The reframing lands while six state preemption suits, a pending CFTC rule, and a Congressional insider-trading probe all turn on exactly one question: is this product a financial instrument or a bet?

The 2026 World Cup Is the First Mega-Event for US Prediction Markets — Kalshi and Polymarket Hit Record $7B Weekly Volume Going In

The 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off June 11 in Mexico City with global wagers projected to top $50 billion — the biggest betting event in history. It is also the first World Cup where US traders can use prediction markets at full scale: Kalshi and Polymarket entered the week at a record $7 billion in combined weekly volume, Kalshi lists nearly 500 tournament markets, and a SEON survey puts prediction markets second only to licensed sportsbooks as the preferred way to bet the tournament.